North is the only Team playing for something here, because they could reach the next stage of the tournament by winning all remaining games. C0ntact Gaming started without a win in the first four games, which is the early exit. But c0ntact will not go down without putting a fight on North today, as they get a Map win in every game so far. C0ntact lost every game in this ESL One – Road to Rio Event with 2:1. The last 2 Map wins came on Inferno for c0ntact, which is a really likely map pick today for c0ntact, because North is not playing Train, which is the most likely first ban for them. This will open up Inferno for c0ntact Gaming. C0ntact will ban Overpass with the first map ban, which opens up Vertigo for North. With riding a 3 game winning streak on Vertigo at ESL Events, I am pretty sure this will be the pick. I see both Teams heavily favored on their map pick, which brings a lot of value on the over 2,5 Map betting pick.
Deciding map should be mirage, as both teams didn’t had the best experience on Nuke or Dust 2 in this event so far. On Mirage, both teams had map wins in the last few days, so there is no reason for a ban. But with the over 2,5 map pick, I really don’t care about the deciding map.
Projection model for c0ntact Gaming vs North, 18:30 MESZ
C0ntact bans Overpass
North bans Train
C0ntact pick Inferno (c0ntact wins 16:12)
North pick Vertigo (North wins 16:9)
C0ntact bans Dust2
North bans Nuke
Mirage will be left over (North wins 16:12)